In what can only be described as a crucial relegation battle, Fortuna Düsseldorf takes on Paderborn in the 1. Bundesliga. Fortuna head to the game on 22 points in 16th place while Paderborn has 16 points and is bottom of the standings. The form is not great for any of the sides and who will rise to the occasion?
Fortuna’s last three matches have had dramatic endings. First, they took a 3-0 half time lead over Hertha Berlin but capitulated in the second half to draw 3-3. Then followed the highly dramatic cup match with Fortuna, in the end, losing on penalties. In their most recent match, Fortuna scored another late goal to draw 1-1 with Mainz.
Their fighting spirit has been commendable, but they are winning too few matches; in the last 10, they have registered just three wins, and one clean sheet. They are without a win in their last four home matches. They have one win and no clean sheets in their last seven matches at home. With three wins in 12 home matches in the Bundesliga, they are under pressure here.
No bright future for Paderborn
Things are not looking rosy for Paderborn either. They are on four straight losses going to this game while winless in six. They look like a team low on confidence. Paderborn are 10 points behind 15th place, seemingly unable to keep a clean sheet even if their lives depended on it. They have conceded two or more goals in six of their last eight matches. They also scored in seven of their last eight games though.
Their away form has also left a lot to be desired. In their last 12 leagues away matches Paderborn have two wins and seven defeats while also conceding two or more in eight of 12 away league matches. It is no surprise they have conceded the second-most goals in the league. Fortuna Düsseldorf has generally been good at winning the matches they “need” to win.
They are on seven wins in their previous 10 matches at home against sides from the bottom half. Paderborn has four defeats in five against sides from the bottom half. We are chasing the home win here, but it is a match Paderborn can’t afford to lose so “both teams to score” looks a fine alternative.